Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →36.1%
Fleetwood Town
28.3%
Draw
35.6%
Stevenage
Expected Goals (xG)
1.02
Fleetwood Town
vs
1.01
Stevenage
Markets
BTTS39.6%
Over 0.588.0%
Over 1.559.2%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.5%
0-1
14.4%
1-1
12.4%
0-0
12.0%
2-1
6.9%
1-2
6.8%
2-0
6.8%
0-2
6.7%
2-2
3.5%
3-1
2.4%
3-0
2.3%
1-3
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).