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AHT: 01

27 Sept 2025 · 14:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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7.4%
Wimborne Town
10.7%
Draw
81.9%
Worthing

Expected Goals (xG)

0.96

Wimborne Town

vs
3.29

Worthing

Markets

BTTS59.1%
Over 0.598.7%
Over 1.592.3%
Over 2.579.6%
Over 3.561.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-3
8.5%
1-3
8.1%
0-2
7.8%
1-2
7.4%
0-4
7.0%
1-4
6.7%
0-1
4.9%
0-5
4.6%
1-5
4.4%
1-1
4.4%
2-3
3.9%
2-2
3.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).