Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →23.4%
Barnsley
31.0%
Draw
45.5%
Stoke
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Barnsley
vs
1.26
Stoke
Markets
BTTS41.1%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.562.5%
Over 2.534.5%
Over 3.515.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.7%
1-1
13.9%
0-0
13.4%
0-2
9.9%
1-0
9.3%
1-2
8.1%
2-1
5.3%
2-0
4.2%
0-3
4.1%
1-3
3.4%
2-2
3.4%
3-1
1.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).