Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.9%
Dunkerque
23.3%
Draw
46.7%
Lorient
Expected Goals (xG)
1.17
Dunkerque
vs
1.54
Lorient
Markets
BTTS53.1%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.574.2%
Over 2.550.7%
Over 3.528.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
11.2%
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
8.8%
0-2
7.9%
2-1
7.0%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
4.7%
2-0
4.6%
0-3
4.0%
2-3
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).