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HHT: 11CSV

17 Apr 2021 · 13:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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58.1%
Reggina
25.8%
Draw
16.1%
Reggiana

Expected Goals (xG)

1.71

Reggina

vs
0.80

Reggiana

Markets

BTTS46.2%
Over 0.590.8%
Over 1.572.7%
Over 2.546.0%
Over 3.524.6%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
12.8%
1-1
12.2%
2-0
11.9%
2-1
9.5%
0-0
9.2%
3-0
6.8%
3-1
5.4%
0-1
5.4%
1-2
4.4%
2-2
3.8%
4-0
2.9%
0-2
2.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).