Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.4%
AVS
26.9%
Draw
53.7%
Moreirense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.87
AVS
vs
1.60
Moreirense
Markets
BTTS47.1%
Over 0.590.6%
Over 1.571.4%
Over 2.544.6%
Over 3.523.4%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.7%
1-1
12.7%
0-2
10.9%
0-0
9.4%
1-2
9.4%
1-0
6.5%
0-3
5.8%
2-1
5.1%
1-3
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.2%
0-4
2.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).