Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.5%
Dundee United
9.5%
Draw
3.0%
Alloa
Expected Goals (xG)
3.36
Dundee United
vs
0.61
Alloa
Markets
BTTS44.9%
Over 0.597.5%
Over 1.591.3%
Over 2.575.8%
Over 3.556.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-0
11.9%
2-0
10.6%
4-0
10.0%
3-1
7.3%
5-0
6.7%
2-1
6.5%
4-1
6.1%
1-0
5.7%
1-1
4.5%
5-1
4.1%
0-0
2.5%
3-2
2.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).