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DHT: 12CSV

08 Apr 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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48.4%
Cadiz
27.4%
Draw
24.2%
Zaragoza

Expected Goals (xG)

1.37

Cadiz

vs
0.88

Zaragoza

Markets

BTTS43.4%
Over 0.589.5%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.539.0%
Over 3.519.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.6%
0-0
10.5%
2-0
9.9%
0-1
9.4%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
4.1%
3-1
4.0%
2-2
3.8%
3-2
1.7%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).