Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →87.7%
Rennes
9.0%
Draw
3.3%
Ajaccio
Expected Goals (xG)
2.99
Rennes
vs
0.45
Ajaccio
Markets
BTTS34.1%
Over 0.596.9%
Over 1.585.6%
Over 2.566.7%
Over 3.544.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-0
14.4%
3-0
14.3%
4-0
10.7%
1-0
9.7%
2-1
6.4%
3-1
6.4%
5-0
6.4%
4-1
4.8%
1-1
4.2%
0-0
3.1%
5-1
2.9%
0-1
1.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).