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AHT: 04CSV

24 Feb 2019

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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23.1%
Hamilton
27.8%
Draw
49.1%
Rangers

Expected Goals (xG)

0.95

Hamilton

vs
1.49

Rangers

Markets

BTTS48.2%
Over 0.590.5%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.544.0%
Over 3.522.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.1%
0-1
12.2%
0-2
9.7%
0-0
9.5%
1-2
9.2%
1-0
7.5%
2-1
5.8%
0-3
4.8%
1-3
4.6%
2-2
4.3%
2-0
3.9%
2-3
2.2%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).