Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →29.8%
Oviedo
30.9%
Draw
39.3%
Girona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.92
Oviedo
vs
1.11
Girona
Markets
BTTS40.7%
Over 0.586.6%
Over 1.560.6%
Over 2.533.2%
Over 3.514.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
14.2%
1-1
13.7%
0-0
13.4%
1-0
11.8%
0-2
8.0%
1-2
7.4%
2-1
6.2%
2-0
5.6%
2-2
3.4%
0-3
3.0%
1-3
2.7%
3-1
1.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).