Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.9%
Mechelen
23.2%
Draw
19.0%
Dender
Expected Goals (xG)
1.87
Mechelen
vs
0.97
Dender
Markets
BTTS53.0%
Over 0.593.8%
Over 1.577.9%
Over 2.554.0%
Over 3.531.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-0
10.5%
2-0
10.2%
2-1
9.9%
3-0
6.3%
0-0
6.2%
3-1
6.2%
0-1
5.3%
1-2
5.2%
2-2
4.8%
3-2
3.0%
4-0
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).