Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →91.5%
Tonbridge Angels
5.1%
Draw
3.4%
Merstham
Expected Goals (xG)
5.04
Tonbridge Angels
vs
1.23
Merstham
Markets
BTTS70.2%
Over 0.599.8%
Over 1.598.6%
Over 2.594.8%
Over 3.586.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
5-1
6.4%
4-1
6.4%
5-0
5.2%
4-0
5.2%
3-1
5.0%
3-0
4.1%
5-2
3.9%
4-2
3.9%
3-2
3.1%
2-1
3.0%
2-0
2.4%
2-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).