Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.4%
Kayserispor
33.1%
Draw
26.5%
Karagumruk
Expected Goals (xG)
1.39
Kayserispor
vs
1.10
Karagumruk
Markets
BTTS53.3%
Over 0.588.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.545.4%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
15.9%
0-0
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-0
8.3%
2-0
8.0%
1-2
7.0%
0-1
5.9%
0-2
5.0%
2-2
4.8%
3-1
4.1%
3-0
3.7%
1-3
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).