Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.4%
Aston Villa
25.7%
Draw
14.9%
West Brom
Expected Goals (xG)
1.79
Aston Villa
vs
0.80
West Brom
Markets
BTTS47.4%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.574.6%
Over 2.548.0%
Over 3.526.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.2%
2-0
12.0%
1-0
11.9%
2-1
9.6%
0-0
9.0%
3-0
7.2%
3-1
5.7%
0-1
4.5%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
3.9%
4-0
3.2%
4-1
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).