Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →4.9%
Granada
9.2%
Draw
85.9%
Barcelona
Expected Goals (xG)
0.82
Granada
vs
3.48
Barcelona
Markets
BTTS54.2%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.592.9%
Over 2.580.2%
Over 3.562.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-3
9.6%
0-4
8.3%
0-2
8.2%
1-3
7.8%
1-4
6.8%
1-2
6.7%
0-5
5.8%
1-5
4.7%
0-1
4.6%
1-1
3.9%
2-3
3.2%
2-4
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).