Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.5%
Red Star
22.3%
Draw
20.2%
Caen
Expected Goals (xG)
1.68
Red Star
vs
0.86
Caen
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.593.0%
Over 1.571.2%
Over 2.546.7%
Over 3.525.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
14.1%
2-0
11.1%
1-1
10.5%
2-1
9.6%
0-1
7.7%
0-0
7.0%
3-0
6.2%
3-1
5.3%
1-2
4.9%
2-2
4.1%
0-2
2.9%
4-0
2.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).