Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →19.8%
Fiorentina
24.3%
Draw
55.9%
Milan
Expected Goals (xG)
0.86
Fiorentina
vs
1.63
Milan
Markets
BTTS46.1%
Over 0.591.9%
Over 1.570.8%
Over 2.545.3%
Over 3.524.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
13.8%
1-1
11.4%
0-2
11.1%
1-2
9.5%
0-0
8.1%
1-0
7.3%
0-3
6.0%
1-3
5.1%
2-1
5.0%
2-2
4.1%
2-0
3.0%
0-4
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).