Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →68.5%
Hamburg
16.7%
Draw
14.8%
Magdeburg
Expected Goals (xG)
2.89
Hamburg
vs
1.35
Magdeburg
Markets
BTTS70.5%
Over 0.598.0%
Over 1.593.0%
Over 2.579.5%
Over 3.561.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
8.1%
3-1
7.8%
1-1
6.2%
2-0
6.0%
3-0
5.8%
4-1
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-2
5.3%
4-0
4.2%
4-2
3.8%
1-2
3.8%
1-0
3.6%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).