Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →59.3%
Dumbarton
22.6%
Draw
18.1%
Forfar
Expected Goals (xG)
2.00
Dumbarton
vs
1.02
Forfar
Markets
BTTS56.0%
Over 0.594.5%
Over 1.581.0%
Over 2.558.1%
Over 3.535.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.6%
2-1
10.0%
2-0
9.7%
1-0
9.1%
3-1
6.6%
3-0
6.5%
0-0
5.5%
1-2
5.1%
2-2
5.1%
0-1
4.3%
3-2
3.4%
4-1
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).