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DHT: 00CSV

30 Oct 2018

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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43.8%
Ebbsfleet
27.3%
Draw
28.9%
Maidstone

Expected Goals (xG)

1.52

Ebbsfleet

vs
1.20

Maidstone

Markets

BTTS55.6%
Over 0.592.4%
Over 1.576.5%
Over 2.551.2%
Over 3.529.1%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.0%
2-1
9.1%
1-0
9.0%
2-0
7.6%
0-0
7.6%
1-2
7.2%
0-1
6.9%
2-2
5.5%
0-2
4.7%
3-1
4.7%
3-0
3.9%
1-3
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).