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23 Aug 2021 · 19:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.2%
Mirandes
27.5%
Draw
25.3%
Amorebieta

Expected Goals (xG)

1.35

Mirandes

vs
0.91

Amorebieta

Markets

BTTS44.2%
Over 0.589.8%
Over 1.566.0%
Over 2.539.5%
Over 3.519.4%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.2%
1-1
12.7%
0-0
10.2%
0-1
9.6%
2-0
9.5%
2-1
8.7%
1-2
5.8%
0-2
4.3%
3-0
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
3-1
3.9%
3-2
1.8%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).