⚽ FootballData
2 – 1
HHT: 00CSV

08 Feb 2025 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

View all models →
42.7%
Colchester
28.0%
Draw
29.4%
Walsall

Expected Goals (xG)

1.21

Colchester

vs
0.95

Walsall

Markets

BTTS42.4%
Over 0.589.0%
Over 1.563.0%
Over 2.536.6%
Over 3.517.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
14.6%
1-1
12.7%
0-1
11.5%
0-0
11.0%
2-0
8.5%
2-1
8.0%
1-2
6.3%
0-2
5.2%
2-2
3.8%
3-0
3.4%
3-1
3.2%
1-3
2.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).