Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.6%
Wolfsburg
18.1%
Draw
67.3%
Dortmund
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Wolfsburg
vs
2.55
Dortmund
Markets
BTTS63.4%
Over 0.597.0%
Over 1.588.8%
Over 2.571.4%
Over 3.550.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-2
9.2%
0-2
8.1%
1-3
7.9%
1-1
7.7%
0-3
6.9%
0-1
5.8%
2-2
5.3%
1-4
5.0%
2-3
4.5%
0-4
4.4%
2-1
4.2%
0-0
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).