Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →12.8%
Hoffenheim
14.8%
Draw
72.4%
Bayern Munich
Expected Goals (xG)
1.35
Hoffenheim
vs
3.14
Bayern Munich
Markets
BTTS71.3%
Over 0.598.5%
Over 1.594.2%
Over 2.582.6%
Over 3.565.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-3
7.8%
1-2
7.5%
1-4
6.1%
0-3
5.8%
0-2
5.5%
2-3
5.3%
1-1
5.1%
2-2
5.0%
0-4
4.5%
2-4
4.2%
1-5
3.9%
2-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).