Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →44.3%
Mouscron
25.8%
Draw
29.8%
Waasland-Beveren
Expected Goals (xG)
1.61
Mouscron
vs
1.28
Waasland-Beveren
Markets
BTTS58.4%
Over 0.593.7%
Over 1.579.0%
Over 2.555.1%
Over 3.532.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.1%
2-1
9.2%
1-0
8.3%
1-2
7.3%
2-0
7.2%
0-1
6.5%
0-0
6.3%
2-2
5.9%
3-1
4.9%
0-2
4.6%
3-0
3.8%
3-2
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).