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AHT: 02CSV

28 Oct 2023 · 15:00

Fylde

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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40.8%
Gateshead
25.3%
Draw
33.9%
Fylde

Expected Goals (xG)

1.66

Gateshead

vs
1.50

Fylde

Markets

BTTS63.7%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.1%
Over 2.561.0%
Over 3.538.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.5%
2-1
8.8%
1-2
7.9%
2-2
6.6%
1-0
6.2%
2-0
5.9%
0-1
5.5%
0-0
5.2%
3-1
4.8%
0-2
4.8%
1-3
4.0%
3-2
3.6%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).