Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.6%
Maidenhead
27.5%
Draw
49.9%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.97
Maidenhead
vs
1.55
Southend
Markets
BTTS50.0%
Over 0.591.0%
Over 1.572.8%
Over 2.546.2%
Over 3.524.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.1%
0-1
11.5%
0-2
9.7%
1-2
9.4%
0-0
9.0%
1-0
6.8%
2-1
5.9%
0-3
5.0%
1-3
4.9%
2-2
4.5%
2-0
3.8%
2-3
2.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).