Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →25.3%
AVS
33.9%
Draw
40.8%
Farense
Expected Goals (xG)
0.78
AVS
vs
1.07
Farense
Markets
BTTS36.5%
Over 0.583.2%
Over 1.556.1%
Over 2.528.2%
Over 3.511.6%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
16.8%
0-1
15.8%
1-1
14.1%
1-0
11.3%
0-2
9.0%
1-2
7.0%
2-1
5.1%
2-0
4.8%
0-3
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
1-3
2.5%
3-1
1.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).