Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.5%
Häcken
26.2%
Draw
47.3%
Malmö FF
Expected Goals (xG)
1.23
Häcken
vs
1.71
Malmö FF
Markets
BTTS59.2%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.580.4%
Over 2.556.3%
Over 3.533.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.3%
1-2
9.5%
0-1
7.8%
0-2
7.7%
2-1
6.9%
0-0
6.5%
2-2
5.9%
1-3
5.4%
1-0
5.3%
0-3
4.4%
2-0
4.0%
2-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).