Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →11.1%
Estrela
17.9%
Draw
71.0%
Sp Braga
Expected Goals (xG)
0.85
Estrela
vs
2.39
Sp Braga
Markets
BTTS52.6%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.583.9%
Over 2.562.9%
Over 3.540.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-2
11.2%
1-2
9.5%
0-3
8.9%
0-1
8.9%
1-1
8.4%
1-3
7.6%
0-4
5.3%
1-4
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-2
4.1%
2-1
3.4%
2-3
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).