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03 Apr 2021 · 15:00

Hearts

Away

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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13.6%
Dunfermline
24.8%
Draw
61.6%
Hearts

Expected Goals (xG)

0.80

Dunfermline

vs
1.90

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Markets

BTTS48.6%
Over 0.591.7%
Over 1.576.9%
Over 2.550.8%
Over 3.528.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.8%
0-1
11.1%
1-2
9.7%
0-0
8.3%
0-3
7.7%
1-3
6.2%
2-1
4.1%
2-2
3.9%
1-0
3.8%
0-4
3.6%
1-4
2.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).