Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →57.6%
Manchester City
21.1%
Draw
21.3%
Salford
Expected Goals (xG)
1.97
Manchester City
vs
1.11
Salford
Markets
BTTS57.4%
Over 0.595.7%
Over 1.580.9%
Over 2.559.4%
Over 3.537.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
2-1
9.9%
1-1
9.7%
1-0
9.4%
2-0
8.9%
3-1
6.5%
3-0
5.8%
1-2
5.6%
2-2
5.5%
0-1
5.4%
0-0
4.3%
3-2
3.6%
4-1
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).