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DHT: 01CSV

13 Jan 2024 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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35.3%
Colchester
28.4%
Draw
36.3%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.06

Colchester

vs
1.08

Bradford

Markets

BTTS42.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.562.6%
Over 2.536.3%
Over 3.517.0%

Most Likely Scorelines

0-1
13.3%
1-0
13.0%
1-1
12.9%
0-0
11.1%
1-2
7.3%
2-1
7.2%
0-2
6.9%
2-0
6.6%
2-2
3.9%
1-3
2.6%
3-1
2.5%
0-3
2.5%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).