Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →62.5%
Stockport
21.2%
Draw
16.3%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
1.86
Stockport
vs
0.82
Accrington
Markets
BTTS46.7%
Over 0.593.5%
Over 1.574.3%
Over 2.550.0%
Over 3.528.1%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
13.2%
2-0
11.9%
1-1
10.0%
2-1
9.7%
3-0
7.4%
0-0
6.5%
0-1
6.0%
3-1
6.0%
1-2
4.3%
2-2
4.0%
4-0
3.4%
4-1
2.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).