Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →22.9%
Dresden
24.0%
Draw
53.1%
Heidenheim
Expected Goals (xG)
1.22
Dresden
vs
1.94
Heidenheim
Markets
BTTS61.4%
Over 0.594.8%
Over 1.583.4%
Over 2.561.2%
Over 3.538.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.0%
1-2
9.7%
0-2
8.0%
0-1
7.2%
1-3
6.3%
2-1
6.1%
2-2
6.0%
0-0
5.2%
0-3
5.1%
1-0
4.2%
2-3
3.8%
2-0
3.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).