Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.7%
Ascoli
34.0%
Draw
28.2%
Chievo
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Ascoli
vs
0.87
Chievo
Markets
BTTS39.3%
Over 0.584.1%
Over 1.558.7%
Over 2.530.4%
Over 3.513.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-0
15.9%
1-1
14.7%
1-0
14.0%
0-1
11.4%
2-0
8.1%
2-1
7.1%
1-2
5.9%
0-2
5.6%
2-2
3.1%
3-0
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
1-3
1.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).