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20 Feb 2021 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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52.4%
Espanol
27.0%
Draw
20.6%
Sabadell

Expected Goals (xG)

1.42

Espanol

vs
0.77

Sabadell

Markets

BTTS40.7%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.564.2%
Over 2.537.5%
Over 3.517.9%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-0
16.0%
1-1
12.1%
2-0
11.2%
0-0
11.1%
0-1
8.8%
2-1
8.7%
3-0
5.3%
1-2
4.7%
3-1
4.1%
2-2
3.4%
0-2
3.3%
4-0
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).