Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →32.0%
Boavista
31.2%
Draw
36.9%
Rio Ave
Expected Goals (xG)
1.05
Boavista
vs
1.15
Rio Ave
Markets
BTTS45.4%
Over 0.587.9%
Over 1.565.5%
Over 2.537.7%
Over 3.518.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
14.4%
0-0
12.1%
0-1
11.7%
1-0
10.6%
1-2
7.7%
0-2
7.3%
2-1
7.0%
2-0
6.1%
2-2
4.0%
1-3
2.9%
0-3
2.8%
3-1
2.5%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).