Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →37.2%
Wolfsburg
24.4%
Draw
38.4%
Freiburg
Expected Goals (xG)
1.63
Wolfsburg
vs
1.66
Freiburg
Markets
BTTS65.9%
Over 0.595.6%
Over 1.584.8%
Over 2.564.0%
Over 3.541.9%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
10.7%
1-2
8.4%
2-1
8.2%
2-2
6.8%
0-1
5.5%
1-0
5.4%
0-2
5.1%
2-0
4.9%
1-3
4.6%
3-1
4.5%
0-0
4.4%
2-3
3.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).