Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.8%
Mechelen
24.8%
Draw
26.4%
Cercle Brugge
Expected Goals (xG)
1.75
Mechelen
vs
1.24
Cercle Brugge
Markets
BTTS59.3%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.580.5%
Over 2.557.4%
Over 3.535.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
11.6%
2-1
9.6%
1-0
8.2%
2-0
7.7%
1-2
6.8%
2-2
5.9%
0-0
5.7%
0-1
5.6%
3-1
5.6%
3-0
4.5%
0-2
3.9%
3-2
3.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).