Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →14.9%
Dover Athletic
24.1%
Draw
61.0%
Southend
Expected Goals (xG)
0.79
Dover Athletic
vs
1.82
Southend
Markets
BTTS46.8%
Over 0.591.8%
Over 1.574.5%
Over 2.548.6%
Over 3.526.8%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
12.4%
0-2
12.1%
1-1
11.4%
1-2
9.6%
0-0
8.2%
0-3
7.4%
1-3
5.9%
1-0
4.9%
2-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-4
3.4%
1-4
2.7%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).