Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →48.9%
Padova
29.6%
Draw
21.4%
Reggiana
Expected Goals (xG)
1.42
Padova
vs
0.85
Reggiana
Markets
BTTS44.7%
Over 0.588.4%
Over 1.567.4%
Over 2.539.6%
Over 3.519.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.7%
1-0
13.4%
0-0
11.6%
2-0
10.4%
2-1
8.8%
0-1
7.6%
1-2
5.3%
3-0
4.9%
3-1
4.2%
2-2
3.8%
0-2
3.8%
3-2
1.8%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).