Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →85.1%
Fenerbahce
9.9%
Draw
5.0%
Hatayspor
Expected Goals (xG)
3.91
Fenerbahce
vs
1.08
Hatayspor
Markets
BTTS65.4%
Over 0.598.6%
Over 1.596.6%
Over 2.587.4%
Over 3.573.2%
Most Likely Scorelines
3-1
7.3%
4-1
7.2%
3-0
6.8%
4-0
6.7%
2-1
5.6%
5-1
5.6%
2-0
5.2%
5-0
5.2%
3-2
4.0%
4-2
3.9%
1-1
3.6%
2-2
3.0%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).