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AHT: 01CSV

17 Apr 2016

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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47.8%
Xanthi
29.4%
Draw
22.8%
Giannina

Expected Goals (xG)

1.41

Xanthi

vs
0.90

Giannina

Markets

BTTS46.1%
Over 0.588.9%
Over 1.568.4%
Over 2.540.7%
Over 3.520.3%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
13.8%
1-0
12.8%
0-0
11.1%
2-0
9.9%
2-1
8.9%
0-1
7.7%
1-2
5.7%
3-0
4.6%
3-1
4.2%
0-2
4.0%
2-2
4.0%
3-2
1.9%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).