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02 Sept 2023 · 15:00

Dixon-Coles Prediction

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49.6%
Mansfield
23.5%
Draw
26.9%
Bradford

Expected Goals (xG)

1.65

Mansfield

vs
1.15

Bradford

Markets

BTTS54.6%
Over 0.594.3%
Over 1.576.4%
Over 2.552.9%
Over 3.530.7%

Most Likely Scorelines

1-1
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
2-1
9.5%
2-0
8.3%
0-1
7.5%
1-2
6.6%
0-0
5.7%
2-2
5.5%
3-1
5.2%
3-0
4.6%
0-2
4.0%
3-2
3.0%

Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).