Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →26.4%
Avellino
27.1%
Draw
46.5%
Catanzaro
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Avellino
vs
1.60
Catanzaro
Markets
BTTS55.8%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.2%
Over 2.551.9%
Over 3.529.7%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
12.9%
1-2
9.4%
0-1
9.0%
0-2
8.1%
0-0
7.5%
2-1
6.8%
1-0
6.2%
2-2
5.4%
1-3
5.0%
0-3
4.3%
2-0
4.2%
2-3
2.9%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).