Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →21.4%
Harrogate
28.8%
Draw
49.9%
Accrington
Expected Goals (xG)
0.70
Harrogate
vs
1.25
Accrington
Markets
BTTS35.4%
Over 0.586.2%
Over 1.557.4%
Over 2.530.9%
Over 3.513.3%
Most Likely Scorelines
0-1
18.3%
0-0
13.8%
1-1
12.0%
0-2
11.1%
1-0
10.5%
1-2
7.8%
0-3
4.6%
2-1
4.4%
2-0
3.5%
1-3
3.2%
2-2
2.7%
0-4
1.4%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).