Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →40.6%
FeralpiSalo
27.7%
Draw
31.7%
Spezia
Expected Goals (xG)
1.48
FeralpiSalo
vs
1.29
Spezia
Markets
BTTS57.1%
Over 0.592.5%
Over 1.577.5%
Over 2.552.2%
Over 3.530.0%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-1
13.2%
2-1
8.9%
1-0
8.1%
1-2
7.7%
0-0
7.5%
0-1
6.9%
2-0
6.9%
2-2
5.7%
0-2
5.2%
3-1
4.4%
3-0
3.4%
1-3
3.3%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).