Dixon-Coles Prediction
View all models →46.3%
Las Palmas
32.1%
Draw
21.6%
Cadiz
Expected Goals (xG)
1.15
Las Palmas
vs
0.69
Cadiz
Markets
BTTS34.5%
Over 0.583.7%
Over 1.555.3%
Over 2.528.0%
Over 3.511.5%
Most Likely Scorelines
1-0
17.8%
0-0
16.3%
1-1
13.0%
0-1
10.5%
2-0
10.5%
2-1
7.2%
1-2
4.4%
3-0
4.0%
0-2
3.8%
3-1
2.8%
2-2
2.5%
4-0
1.2%
Probabilities from a Dixon-Coles Poisson model fitted on results since 2020 with exponential time-weighting (ξ=0.005, half-life ≈ 139 days).